Publications

Selected publications

Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F., & Donat, M. G. (2019). Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution. Nature Communications, 10(1), 1–7.8.

Massonnet, F., Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2016). Using climate models to estimate the quality of global observational data sets. Science, 354(6311).

Peer-reviewed

  1. Anstey, J. A., Simpson, I. R., Richter, J. H., Naoe, H., Taguchi, M., Serva, F., ..., Bellprat, O., ..., Osprey, S. (2021). Teleconnections of the Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation in a multi‐model ensemble of QBO‐resolving models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 1 – 26.

  2. Palmeiro, F. M., García-Serrano, J., Bellprat, O., Bretonnière, P.-A., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2020). Boreal winter stratospheric variability in EC-EARTH: High-Top versus Low-Top. Climate Dynamics, 54(5), 3135–3150.

  3. Lauer, A., Eyring, V., Bellprat, O., Bock, L., Gier, B. K., Hunter, A., ... Schlund, M. (2020). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2. 0–diagnostics for emergent constraints and future projections from Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 13(9), 4205–4228.

  4. Eyring, V., Bock, L., Lauer, A., Righi, M., Schlund, M., Andela, B., ..., Bellprat, O., ... Caron, L.-P. (2020). Earth System Model Evaluation Tool (ESMValTool) v2. 0–an extended set of large-scale diagnostics for quasi-operational and comprehensive evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP. Geoscientific Model Development, 13(7), 3383–3438.

  5. Haarsma, R. J., García-Serrano, J., Prodhomme, C., Bellprat, O., Davini, P., & Drijfhout, S. (2019). Sensitivity of winter North Atlantic-European climate to resolved atmosphere and ocean dynamics. Scientific Reports, 9(1).

  6. Vautard, R., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Alvarez-Castro, C., Bellprat, O., Christiansen, B., ... Yiou, P. (2019). Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of detection and attribution of human influence on extreme events in Europe. Climate Dynamics, 52(1–2).

  7. Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F., & Donat, M. G. (2019). Towards reliable extreme weather and climate event attribution. Nature Communications, 10(1), 1–7.8.

  8. Lledó, L., Bellprat, O., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., & Soret, A. (2018). Investigating the Effects of Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures on the Wind Drought of 2015 Over the United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 123, 4837– 4849.

  9. Butchart, N., Anstey, J. A., Hamilton, K., Osprey, S., McLandress, C., Bushell, A. C.,..., Bellprat, O., ..., Yukimoto, S. (2018). Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi). Geoscientific Model Development, 11(3).

  10. Manubens, N., Caron, L.-P., Hunter, A., Bellprat, O., Exarchou, E., Fučkar, N. S., ... Doblas- Reyes, F. J. (2018). An R package for climate forecast verification. Environmental Modelling and Software, 103.

  11. Doblas Reyes, F., Acosta Navarro, J. C., Acosta Cobos, M. C., Bellprat, O., Bilbao, R., Castrillo Melguizo, M., ... Menegoz, M. (2018). Using EC-Earth for climate prediction research. ECMWF Newsletter, (154), 35–40.

  12. Ménégoz, M., Bilbao, R., Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2018). Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions: Prediction skill related to stratospheric aerosol forcing. Environmental Research Letters, 13(6), 64022.

  13. Eden, J. M., Kew, S. F., Bellprat, O., Lenderink, G., Manola, I., Omrani, H., & van Oldenborgh, G. J. (2018). Extreme precipitation in the Netherlands: An event attribution case study. Weather and Climate Extremes, 21, 90–101.

  14. Voudouri, A., Khain, P., Carmona, I., Bellprat, O., Grazzini, F., Avgoustoglou, E., ... Kaufmann, P. (2017). Objective calibration of numerical weather prediction models. Atmospheric Research, 190.

  15. Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., Siegert, S., Prodhomme, C., Macias-Gómez, D., Guemas, V., & Doblas-Reyes, F. (2017). Uncertainty propagation in observational references to climate model scales. Remote Sensing of Environment, 203(101-108).

  16. Siegert, S., Bellprat, O., Ménégoz, M., Stephenson, D. B., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2017). Detecting improvements in forecast correlation skill: Statistical testing and power analysis. Monthly Weather Review, 145(2).

  17. Vautard, R., Christidis, N., Ciavarella, A., Alvarez-Castro, C., Bellprat, O., Christiansen, B., ... Eden, J. (2017). Evaluation of the HadGEM3-A simulations in view of climate and weather event human influence attribution in Europe. Clim. Dynamics, 52, 1187–1210.

  18. Prodhomme, C., Batté, L., Massonnet, F., Davini, P., Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., & Doblas- Reyes, F. J. (2016). Benefits of increasing the model resolution for the seasonal forecast quality in EC-earth. Journal of Climate, 29(24).

  19. Bellprat, O., Kotlarski, S., Lüthi, D., De Elía, R., Frigon, A., Laprise, R., & Schär, C. (2016). Objective calibration of regional climate models: Application over Europe and North America. Journal of Climate, 29(2).

  20. Fučkar, N. S., Massonnet, F., Guemas, V., García-Serrano, J., Bellprat, O., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., & Acosta, M. (2016). 27. Record low northern hemisphere sea ice extent in March 2015. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12).

  21. Bellprat, O., Massonnet, F., García-Serrano, J., Fučkar, N. S., Guemas, V., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2016). The role of arctic sea ice and sea surface temperatures on the cold 2015 February over North America. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97(12).

  22. Guemas, V., Chevallier, M., Déqué, M., Bellprat, O., & Doblas-Reyes, F. (2016). Impact of sea ice initialization on sea ice and atmosphere prediction skill on seasonal timescales. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(8).

  23. Massonnet, F., Bellprat, O., Guemas, V., & Doblas-Reyes, F. J. (2016). Using climate models to estimate the quality of global observational data sets. Science, 354(6311).

  24. Bellprat, O., & Doblas-Reyes, F. (2016). Attribution of extreme weather and climate events overestimated by unreliable climate simulations. Geophysical Research Letters, 43(5).

  25. Prodhomme, C., Doblas-Reyes, F., Bellprat, O., & Dutra, E. (2016). Impact of land-surface initialization on sub-seasonal to seasonal forecasts over Europe. Climate Dynamics, 47(3–4).

  26. Bellprat, O., Lott, F. C., Gulizia, C., Parker, H. R., Pampuch, L. A., Pinto, I., ... Stott, P. A. (2015). Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over Southern Africa and South America from a climate perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9.

  27. Bellprat, O., Kotlarski, S., Lüthi, D., & Schär, C. (2013). Physical constraints for temperature biases in climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 40(15).

  28. Bellprat, O., Kotlarski, S., Lüthi, D., & Schär, C. (2012). Objective calibration of regional climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 117(23).

  29. Bellprat, O., Kotlarski, S., Lüthi, D., & Schär, C. (2012). Exploring perturbed physics ensembles in a regional climate model. Journal of Climate, 25(13).

PhD Thesis

Bellprat, O. (2013): Parameter uncertainty and calibration of regional climate models, PhD Thesis, ETH Zürich. Awarded with the ETH-medal for outstanding thesis.